In this article I will propose some ideas to deal with
the worst global recession in history. The way out of the crisis, however, is
long, arduous, and painful, and everyone in his or her capacity should take
part in the discussions and propose further ideas.
There
is no doubt that the coronavirus is one of the reasons of this recession and
that it is here to stay for a while. Its economic repercussions, therefore,
will continue. It is not reasonable then to wait until we eradicate the
pandemic to face the imminent economic and social dangers.
The economic crisis I
expected to take place in 2020 has exacerbated. It continues to grow while we combat
the coronavirus. It will continue after the pandemic and until the end of this
year leading to the worst recession in history, even worse than the Great
Depression between 1929 and 1932.
It is necessary for every country to develop
appropriate plans to face this great challenge. It is
worth mentioning that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) says that getting
out of the crisis depends on the measures taken by each country and that we
need a quick economic rescue plan for 2020, and another one that extends to 2025.
I am well aware that each country has its own specific
circumstances and considerations, and I am not claiming that I can propose
suggestions for each country as the decision makers in each Arab state are
capable of doing that. What I am a suggesting is that such decision making
should be done in a collaborative manner with input from cross sectoral
stakeholders including government, business, academia, and civil society to propose
solutions to face this looming disaster. This team should work as an advisory
board that reports to the head of state to decide what procedures should be implemented.
This could include annulling taxes on new investment
projects in the agricultural, medical, and other industries to ensure they
receive the necessary protection to achieve self-sufficiency in the country. Digital
transformation of the country should also be given priority including digitalizing
trade and education as well as developing an e-services based government. These
should be backed up with effective laws that promote investment and protect
consumers.
Policies
for the stimulation of GDP growth should be adopted as well as policies that stimulate
business, to create more jobs and expand the tax base which will in turn generate
more tax revenues for the state without resorting to direct tax increases. The
economic sector and citizens should be involved in decision-making because the
coronavirus crisis has proven that the citizens accept, cooperate, commit, and
respect the powers of the authorities when they know that this serves their interests.
A
program to employ the unemployed in small companies and disburse their salaries
through such companies instead of paying them unemployment benefits should be
adopted. A training system that ends with employment based on the mutual
consent between the company and the worker should be considered. Also, an
administrative reform plan along with an austerity program to rationalize
spending and restructure government sectors should be looked into. There should
also be an absolute, unwavering sovereign commitment to maintaining the free
movement of funds.
Finally, energy policies should be restructured and
the international agreements should be developed to promote the national
interests of each country. Small businesses should be supported qualitatively,
legislatively, and procedurally. A study should be conducted on the
privatization of government institutions and whether it increases efficiency, achieves
profitability and stops losses. Policies and procedures for controlling prices
and combating high prices should also be adopted.