Wu Shicun, head of
the National Institute for South China Sea Studies, stated that the US military
has deployed unprecedented numbers of its naval troops in the South China Sea.
He warned that a military accident or accidental shooting might take place,
which would be catastrophic to the US-Sino ties. That statement, as well as
other relevant facts that the US has mobilized 375,000 soldiers and 60% of its
warships in the Indian and Pacific oceans, heralds an imminent war between the
Big Two, America and China.
This being the 75th anniversary of the end of World War
II, it may be useful to review some lessons learnt from that war to avoid the eruption
of a new world war, a threat that is already looming. World wars have made a
profound change in the geopolitical map of the world. The unforgettable traces
of wars, with their victories and defeats, are still engraved in the minds of
people across the globe.
Tracing the causes, outcomes, and some of the manifestations of the
World War may be important to prevent past warfare from being prologue to a new
war.
The Treaty of Versailles was one of the most substantial causes of World
War II due to the harsh sanctions imposed on Germany and excessive
compensations it had, according to the treaty, to pay to the Allies. The treaty
also led to inter-European conflicts over boundaries. All this served a good
purpose in the rise of the Nazi Party that played on the humiliation felt by
the German population. They stirred the desire of vengeance and revived the
aspiration to the “Great Germany”.
Any precarious situation may lead to a military conflict. A World War, however,
is never an unforeseen event. The German invasion of Poland was not out of nothing,
but several catalysts led to it. History seems now to be repeating itself.
The war left behind great material losses, the foremost of which were
human. The Soviet Union back then lost 27 million citizens, which meant that one
out of every 7 soviets was killed. America lost the equivalent of one out of
every 320 of its citizens and Britain lost the equivalent of one out of every
127 of its citizens.
The war victors created a modern world system that involved several
contradictions in the world power balance and their social, economic, political
and technological parameters. Among the considerable material outcomes of the
war was the formation of the League of Nations, on which hopes of achieving
permanent peace and security for all were pinned. The League, however, was
entirely under the domination of the victorious allies and failed, therefore,
to prevent wars. One of the most horrendous repercussions of its weakness was
the dissolution of Czechoslovakia, and conflicts in Europe did not stop until
they had destroyed values before buildings.
The World learnt the lesson of the total failure of the League of
Nations and started developing the structure of the United Nations, to whose
“veto” I beg to object and propose establishing a “Security Council” in the
General Assembly to play its role in the event of using the veto. I believe there
should be no “veto” as a supreme decision-making power that issues binding
decisions. Let it be taken into consideration that wars cause the formation of
allies that lead to dividing and disbanding of all that is on earth and
establishing international military courts that operate in favor of the war
victors and probably punish those they describe as war criminals.
World wars have also left behind organizations somehow relevant to international
warfare, like the Weapons of Mass Destruction Assembly, which was created in
1945, establishing the principle of dispute resolution. Add to this the
economic crises caused by wars and the unjust, illegitimate usurping of world
resources by some nations, unrightfully depriving others of them.
As for the nonmaterial outcomes of wars, they manifest themselves
through relationships among the nations and peoples of the world. Selfishness
has outdone all other concepts and symptoms of political cowardice appeared at
a time when it should not. A culture of seeking to satisfy transgressors, moreover,
has been ingrained in the most humiliating manner! The political elite has also
shown exemplary negligence in performing their role and do not even attempt to
look for solutions. All this reminds us of the situation in the Middle East,
best represented by the case of the Zionist occupation of Palestine.
Another dire repercussion of wars is the mercenary political media,
which plays a major role in causing and aggravating conflict. Its role in
distorting history and facts to further political purposes is needless to state.
Wars serve to make a media of liars and deceivers, a giant machine that
overflows with a vast amount of disinformation tailored to serve the interests
of one party at the expense of all others. It is an entire industry closely
associated with and dependent on warfare. Its slogan is “Repeat a lie often
enough and people will believe it”! It is about time we choose “conciliation”
as a better alternative to “dispute”. There need not be victories and defeats;
let the whole world be victorious and prosperous.